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Free access

Eric Mohlin, Helena Filipsson Nyström, and Mats Eliasson

Objective

To investigate the long-term prognosis of patients with Graves' disease (GD) after antithyroid drug (ATD) treatment and follow-up outside of highly specialised care.

Design and methods

Medical records of all patients diagnosed with first-time GD in 2000–2010 with at least 6 months ATD treatment at a central hospital and follow-up in primary health care in the county of Norrbotten in northern Sweden were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were followed for relapse until 31st December 2012. We included 219 patients (mean age 46 years, 82.5% women) with follow-up of maximum 10 years and 829 observed patient years. Data were analysed using Kaplan–Meier estimates and log-rank test.

Results

During the observation period, 43.5% of the patients had relapsed into active GD. The cumulative relapse rates were 22.6, 30.2, 36.9 and 41.5% after 6 months, 1, 3 and 5 years respectively. The presence of goitre (P=0.014) predicted relapse. Previous smoking was protective against relapse (P=0.003). The levels of free thyroxine or free tri-iodothyronine, age, gender, current smoking and ophthalmopathy did not predict relapse. Agranulocytosis was found in 1.7% (95% CI 0.7–4.0%).

Conclusion

A long-term remission of 56.5%, in an iodine-sufficient area where ATD is offered to most patients in the real world of central and district hospitals, is higher than in most studies. Relapse was most common during the first year, and prognosis was excellent after 4 years without relapse. The protective effect of previous smoking merits further research.

Restricted access

Mats Eliasson, Erik Hägg, Dan Lundblad, Roger Karlsson, and Elisabet Bucht

Little is known about the effects of snuff use on health. We have investigated electrolyte levels, adrenocortical and calcium regulating hormones in three groups of healthy young men, including 18 non-tobacco users, 21 snuff users and 19 smokers with similar age and body mass index. Smoking and snuff use was positively associated with alcohol and coffee consumption and inversely related to physical activity. Compared to non-tobacco users, smokers had significantly increased levels of serum sodium and magnesium, plasma calcitonin, urinary cortisol and potassium levels and decreased serum sex hormone-binding globulin as well as serum and urinary creatinine values. However, only decreased sexual hormone-binding globulin and urinary creatinine and increased serum phosphate and urinary potassium levels were seen in snuff users. Among tobacco users we noted that smokers differed from snuff users in that they had higher serum sodium (1.4mmol/l, p<0.01), plasma calcitonin (3.3 pmol/l, p<0.05) and urinary cortisol (41 nmol/24 h, p<0.05) but lower serum creatinine (5.8 μmol/l, p <0.01). We conclude that chronic snuff use appears to have less influence on hormone and electrolyte balance than does smoking, and that some of the abnormalities seen in smokers do not seem to be mediated by nicotine.

Open access

Andrew A Crawford, Stefan Soderberg, Clemens Kirschbaum, Lee Murphy, Mats Eliasson, Shah Ebrahim, George Davey Smith, Tommy Olsson, Naveed Sattar, Debbie A Lawlor, Nicolas J Timpson, Rebecca M Reynolds, and Brian R Walker

Objective

The identification of new causal risk factors has the potential to improve cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction and the development of new treatments to reduce CVD deaths. In the general population, we sought to determine whether cortisol is a causal risk factor for CVD and coronary heart disease (CHD).

Design and methods

Three approaches were adopted to investigate the association between cortisol and CVD/CHD. First, we used multivariable regression in two prospective nested case-control studies (total 798 participants, 313 incident CVD/CHD with complete data). Second, a random-effects meta-analysis of these data and previously published prospective associations was performed (total 6680 controls, 696 incident CVD/CHD). Finally, one- and two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses were performed (122,737 CHD cases, 547,261 controls for two-sample analyses).

Results

In the two prospective nested case–control studies, logistic regression adjusting for sex, age, BMI, smoking and time of sampling, demonstrated a positive association between morning plasma cortisol and incident CVD (OR: 1.28 per 1 SD higher cortisol, 95% CI: 1.06–1.54). In the meta-analysis of prospective studies, the equivalent result was OR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.06–1.31. Results from the two-sample Mendelian randomization were consistent with these positive associations: OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.98–1.15.

Conclusions

All three approaches demonstrated a positive association between morning plasma cortisol and incident CVD. Together, these findings suggest that elevated morning cortisol is a causal risk factor for CVD. The current data suggest strategies targeted at lowering cortisol action should be evaluated for their effects on CVD.